CO2-induced Climate Change Assessment for the extreme 2022 Pakistan Rainfall using Seasonal Forecast

npj Climate and Atmospheric Science Nature Research (part of Springer Nature)

Authors:

Antje Weisheimer, Timothy N Palmer, Nicholas Leach, Myles Allen, Christopher Robert, Muhammad Adnan Abid

Calibrating large-ensemble European climate projections using observational data

Authors:

Christopher H O'Reilly, Daniel J Befort, Antje Weisheimer

Can low-resolution CMIP6 ScenarioMIP models provide insight into future European Post-Tropical Cyclone risk?

Authors:

Elliott Michael Sainsbury, Reinhard KH Schiemann, Kevin I Hodges, Alexander J Baker, Len C Shaffrey, Kieran T Bhatia, Stella Bourdin

Climate & Health Implications of Adopting Modern Household Cooking Fuels on a Global Scale

Authors:

Emily Floess, Andrew Grieshop, Elisa Puzzolo, Daniel Pope, Nicholas Leach, Christopher J Smith, Annelise Gill-Wiehl, Katherine Landesman, Rob Bailis

Divergent convective outflow in large-eddy simulations

Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics. 23, 6065–6081, 2023

Authors:

Edward Groot; Holger Tost

Abstract:

Upper-tropospheric outflow is analysed in cloud-resolving large-eddy simulations. Thereby, the role of convective organization, latent heating, and other factors in upper-tropospheric divergent-outflow variability from deep convection is diagnosed using a set of more than 80 large-eddy simulations because the outflows are thought to be an important feedback from (organized) deep convection to large-scale atmospheric flows; perturbations in those outflows may sometimes propagate into larger-scale perturbations.
Upper-tropospheric divergence is found to be controlled by net latent heating and convective organization. At low precipitation rates isolated convective cells have a stronger mass divergence than squall lines. The squall line divergence is the weakest (relative to the net latent heating) when the outflow is purely 2D in the case of an infinite-length squall line. At high precipitation rates the mass divergence discrepancy between the various modes of convection reduces. Hence, overall, the magnitude of divergent outflow is explained by the latent heating and the dimensionality of the outflow, which together create a non-linear relation.